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On the Information Content of Futures Prices, Application to LME Nonferrous Metal Futures

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Author Info
MARTINOT, N.
Lesourd, J.-B.
Morard, B.
Abstract

The objective of operations on futures markets may be either hedging or speculation. In this paper, we wish to give a desciption of futures markets with two groups of operators with heterogeneous expectations: hedgers-speculators, and pure speculators. The existence of carry-over costs is taken into account in the case of commodity trading, as well as in the case of financial futures. An equation, giving a simplified expression of the futures price, is derived. Applications to nonferrous metal futures (aluminium, copper and nickel) commodity markets are proposed.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales, Universite de Geneve- in its series Papers with number 2000.12.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:ehecge:2000.12

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Suisse; Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales, Universite de Geneve, faculte des SES. 102 Bb. Carl-Vogt CH - 1211 Geneve 4, Suisse
Web page: http://www.hec.unige.ch/
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Related research
Keywords: MARKET ; SPECULATION ; MANAGEMENT ; EXPECTATIONS;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies

Statistics
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-16.


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