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Do We Need Multi-Country Models to Explain Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Dynamics?

Author

Listed:
  • Hodrick, R.
  • Vassalou, M.

Abstract

This paper examines characterizations of exchange rate and short-term interest rate dynamics, based on the implications of multi-country versions of the Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross (1985) class of term structure models. The countries considered are the US, Germany, Japan, and the UK. Our tests reveal that multi-country models are, in some cases, better able to explain the dynamics of exchange rates and interest rates than two-country and single-country models respectively. This is particularly true for the Japanese interest rate as well as the rate of appreciation of the Deutsche mark relative to the US dollar. Our inference is conducted using the small-sample distributions of test statistics, in addition to their asymptotic distributions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hodrick, R. & Vassalou, M., 2000. "Do We Need Multi-Country Models to Explain Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Dynamics?," Papers 00-01, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:colubu:00-01
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Burton Hollifield & Armir Yaron, "undated". "The Foreign Exchange Risk Premium: Real and Nominal Factors," GSIA Working Papers 2001-E13, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
    2. Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2012. "An International Dynamic Term Structure Model with Economic Restrictions and Unspanned Risks," Staff Working Papers 12-5, Bank of Canada.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    DISTRIBUTION ; INTEREST RATE ; EXCHANGE RATE;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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