The Risk of marginalization in the Labour Market: Application of the Three State Dependent Competing Risks Duration Model
AbstractIn this paper I apply a three-state dependent competing risks model to analyse marginalization in the Danish labour market during the 1980s. I derive the theoretical contribution of a left-censored spell (which may also be right-censored), using a piecewise exponential baseline hazard specification. Dependency between risks and time spent in various states is allowed for. The main findings are that youth unemployment was a severe problem in the 1980s, caused mainly by high transition rates into nonparticipation and unemployment, rather than low transition rates into employment. Furthermore, for a certain cohort of men, 'The lost Generation', having obtained working experience is crucial to not being marginalized, that is, there are indications of a higher degree of polarization in the labour market for this particular male cohort.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark- in its series Papers with number 97-14.
Length: 54 pages
Date of creation: 1997
Date of revision:
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Postal: Danmark; Centre for Labour Market and Social Research. Science Park Aarhus Wieds Vej 10C, 8000 Aarhus C, Danmark
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Web page: http://www.cls.dk/
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RISK ; UNEMPLOYMENT ; LABOUR MARKET;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
- J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - General
- J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
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- Larsen, B., 1998.
"Minimum Wages, Technological Progress and Loss of Skill,"
98-03, Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark-.
- Larsen, Birthe, 2001. "Minimum wages, technological progress and loss of skill," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(8), pages 1521-1544, August.
- Van den Berg, Gerard J., 2000.
"Duration Models: Specification, Identification, and Multiple Durations,"
9446, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Van den Berg, Gerard J., 2001. "Duration models: specification, identification and multiple durations," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 55, pages 3381-3460 Elsevier.
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