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Comment sortir d'une situation de competitivite insuffisante et de risque de defaut en changes fixes avec dette en devises?

Author

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  • Artus, P.

Abstract

Nous partons de la situation de l'Argentine: le taux de change est totalement fixe vis-a-vis du dollar, puisqu'il y a currency board, mais il apparait d'importantes primes de risque de defaut; la dette, aussi bien, publique que privee, est en devises, et non en monnaie nationale, ce qui implique qu'une devaluation ruinerait les emprunteurs; enfin, la competitivite est beaucoup degradee puisqu'un partenaire commerce important, le Bresil, a devalue massivement par rapport au dollar.

Suggested Citation

  • Artus, P., 2001. "Comment sortir d'une situation de competitivite insuffisante et de risque de defaut en changes fixes avec dette en devises?," Papers 2001-48/ei, Caisse des Depots et Consignations - Cahiers de recherche.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:cadeco:2001-48/ei
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    TAUX DE CHANGE ; RISQUE ; DETTE;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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