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La Banque Centrale doit-elle reagir vite ou reagir avec retard a l'inflation?

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  • Artus, P.

Abstract

Lorsque des pressions inflationnistes apparaissent au debut d'un cycle d'expansion, ce qui pourrait etrele cas dans la zone euro, alors que l'investissement est encore faible et le chomage encore eleve, la Banque Centrale a le choix entre deux stategies. Passer rapidement a une politique monetaire restrictive, pour eviter le developpement de l'inflation, avec le risque d'etouffer prococement l'investissement et la croissance; reagir progressivement et avec retard, pour maintenir la reprise de l'investissement, au risque de laisser l'inflation accelerer. Nous utilisons un modele theorique dynamique pour le capital, la croissance et l'inflation pour comparer ces deux strategies possibles pour la Banque Centrale.

Suggested Citation

  • Artus, P., 2000. "La Banque Centrale doit-elle reagir vite ou reagir avec retard a l'inflation?," Papers 2000-63/ma, Caisse des Depots et Consignations - Cahiers de recherche.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:cadeco:2000-63/ma
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    1. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/2942 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2942 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Jérôme Creel & Jacky Fayolle, 2002. "La Banque centrale et l'Union monétaire européennes : les tribulations de la crédibilité," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(5), pages 211-244.
    4. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/2942 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    INFLATION ; INVESTISSEMENTS ; CHOMAGE;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R52 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Land Use and Other Regulations
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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