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Speculateurs, investisseurs et attaques speculatives alors que les changes fixes pouvaient etre conserves

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  • Artus, P.

Abstract

Nous etudions a l'aide d'un modele derive des modeles de crises de balance des paiements mais, nous semble-t-il, plus realiste, la situation d'un pays qui connait un choc defavorable sur sa balance commerciale. Oiyr evuter de deviur abandonner le regime de changes fixes, les autorites du pays peuvent rendre plus restrictive la politique monetaire, mais pas au-dela d'une certaine limite a cause des effets sur la production. Si la politique monetaire est connue de facon certaine, et si elle peut eviter l'abandon des changes fixes, aucune attaque speculative n'a lieu; si elle ne peut pas l'eviter, la monnaie du pays est attaquee. L'apport de cet article est l'examen de situations ou une attaque speculative a lieu alors que les changes fixes pouvaient etre conserves.

Suggested Citation

  • Artus, P., 1999. "Speculateurs, investisseurs et attaques speculatives alors que les changes fixes pouvaient etre conserves," Papers 1999-07/fi, Caisse des Depots et Consignations - Cahiers de recherche.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:cadeco:1999-07/fi
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    MONNAIE ; TAUX DE CHANGE ; GOUVERNEMENT;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System

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