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Working Paper 08-17 - Vehicle stock modelling in long term projections - Survey of the literature

Author

Listed:
  • Laurent Franckx

Abstract

Transport models used for long-term projections should reflect the impact of shared, automated and electric mobility modes. The objective of the current paper is to derive lessons from the existing literature on vehicle ownership modelling to find options to further improve the PLANET model, which is used for projections of transport demand in Belgium.PLANET is already well equipped to represent the impacts of shared and automated cars on the opportunity cost of travel time, the load factors and the annual mileage of cars.

Suggested Citation

  • Laurent Franckx, 2017. "Working Paper 08-17 - Vehicle stock modelling in long term projections - Survey of the literature," Working Papers 201708, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
    • Handle: RePEc:fpb:wpaper:201708
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    File URL: https://www.plan.be/uploaded/documents/201708070925170.WP_1708_11528.pdf
    File Function: english version
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transport demand; Long-term forecasting; Technology diffusion; Car ownership; Automated vehicles; Electric vehicles; Shared mobility; Integrated energy-transport modelling;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • L62 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Automobiles; Other Transportation Equipment; Related Parts and Equipment
    • L9 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities
    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting
    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics
    • R4 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics

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