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Identifying noise traders: the head-and-shoulders pattern in U.S. equities

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Abstract

This paper identifies a specific set of agents as noise traders in U.S. equity markets, and examines their effects on returns. These agents, who speculate using the "head-and-shoulders" chart pattern, are shown to qualify as noise traders because (1) trading volume is exceptionally high when they are active, and (2) their trading is unprofitable. Head-and-shoulders sales lower prices and vice versa, effects that disappear within two weeks.

Suggested Citation

  • Carol L. Osler, 1998. "Identifying noise traders: the head-and-shoulders pattern in U.S. equities," Staff Reports 42, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednsr:42
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    Cited by:

    1. BEN OMRANE, Walid & VAN OPPEN, Hervé, 2004. "The predictive success and profitability of chart patterns in the Euro/Dollar foreign exchange market," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2004035, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).

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    Keywords

    Stock market; Stock - Prices;

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