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Financial Stability and Interest Rates

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Abstract

In a recent research paper we argue that interest rates have very different consequences for current versus future financial stability. In the short run, lower real rates mean higher asset prices and hence higher net worth for financial institutions. In the long run, lower real rates lead intermediaries to shift their portfolios toward risky assets, making them more vulnerable over time. In this post, we use a model to highlight the challenging trade-offs faced by policymakers in setting interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozge Akinci & Gianluca Benigno & Marco Del Negro & Ethan Nourbash & Albert Queraltó, 2023. "Financial Stability and Interest Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20230523, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:96196
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    File URL: https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2023/05/financial-stability-and-interest-rates/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial stability; monetary policy; Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models; rates; nonlinear responses; shocks; fire sale;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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