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Is Higher Financial Stress Lurking around the Corner for China?

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Abstract

Despite China’s tighter financial policies and the Evergrande troubles, Chinese financial stress measures have been remarkably stable around average levels. Chinese financial conditions, though, are affected by global markets, making it likely that low foreign financial stress conditions are blurring the state of Chinese financial markets. In this post, we parse out the domestic component of a Chinese financial stress measure to evaluate the downside risk to future economic activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan J. J. Groen & Adam I. Noble, 2021. "Is Higher Financial Stress Lurking around the Corner for China?," Liberty Street Economics 20211123, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:93391
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    File URL: https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2021/11/is-higher-financial-stress-lurking-around-the-corner-for-china/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial conditions; growth-at-risk; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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