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Connecting “The Dots”: Disagreement in the Federal Open Market Committee

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Abstract

People disagree, and so do the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). How much do they disagree? Why do they disagree? We look at the FOMC’s projections of the federal funds rate (FFR) and other variables and compare them with those in the New York Fed’s Survey of Primary Dealers (SPD). We show that the members of the FOMC tend to disagree more than the primary dealers and offer some potential explanations.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard K. Crump & Troy Davig & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2014. "Connecting “The Dots”: Disagreement in the Federal Open Market Committee," Liberty Street Economics 20140925a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:86978
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FOMC; Primary Dealer Survey; Disagreement; Summary of Economic Projections (SEP);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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