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On the Efficiency of Competitive Equilibria with Pandemics

Author

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  • V. V. Chari
  • Rishabh Kirpalani
  • Luis Perez

Abstract

The epidemiological literature suggests that virus transmission occurs only when individuals are in relatively close contact. We show that if society can control the extent to which economic agents are exposed to the virus and agents can commit to contracts, virus externalities are local, and competitive equilibria are efficient. The Second Welfare Theorem also holds. These results still apply when infection status is imperfectly observed and when agents are privately informed about their infection status. If society cannot control virus exposure, then virus externalities are global and competitive equilibria are inefficient, but the policy implications are very different from those in the literature. Economic activity in this version of our model can be inefficiently low, in contrast to the conventional wisdom that viruses create global externalities and result in inefficiently high economic activity. If agents cannot commit, competitive equilibria are inefficient because of a novel pecuniary externality.

Suggested Citation

  • V. V. Chari & Rishabh Kirpalani & Luis Perez, 2023. "On the Efficiency of Competitive Equilibria with Pandemics," Staff Report 644, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:95936
    DOI: 10.21034/sr.644
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    Keywords

    Lockdowns; Virus exposure; Local public goods;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H41 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Public Goods
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • D62 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Externalities

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