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Alternative approaches to real exchange rates and real interest rates: three up and three down

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Author Info
Hali J. Edison
William R. Melick

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Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rates using three different approaches across four currencies and two horizons with 20 years of data. Each approach gives some encouragement that this relationship might hold, but each approach also encounters problems establishing the form or usefulness of the relationship. On balance, this paper contributes to the literature by finding more encouraging results than in earlier studies, but it still remains to be demonstrated that the real exchange rate-real interest rate relationship is the linchpin to explaining exchange rate movements.

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File URL: http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/1995/518/default.htm
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Paper provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) in its series International Finance Discussion Papers with number 518.

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Date of creation: 1995
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:518

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Related research
Keywords: Foreign exchange rates ; Interest rates;

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  1. Maurice Obstfeld & Alan M. Taylor, 2003. "Globalization and Capital Markets," NBER Chapters, in: Globalization in Historical Perspective, pages 121-188 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Russell Smyth, 2006. "The dynamic relationship between real exchange rates, real interest rates and foreign exchange reserves: empirical evidence from China," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(9), pages 639-651, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Mariam Camarero & Cecilio Tamarit, . "A panel cointegration approach to the estimation of the peseta real exchange rate," Working Papers on International Economics and Finance 01-08, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Minford, Patrick & Peel, David, 2005. "On the equality of Real Interest Rates across borders in Integrated Capital Markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2005/3, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Luca Antonio Ricci & Ronald MacDonald, . "PPP and the Balassa Samuelson Effect: The Role of the Distribution Sector," IMF Working Papers 01/38, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Joseph P. Byrne & Jun Nagayasu, 2008. "Structural Breaks in the Real Exchange Rate and Real Interest Rate Relationship," Working Papers 2008_29, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
  7. Ana-Maria Fuertes & Jerry Coakley & Andrew Wood, 2004. "A new interpretation of the real exchange rate - yield differential nexus," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 32, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  8. Taline Koranchelian, 2005. "The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country: Algeria's Experience," IMF Working Papers 05/135, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  9. Bernd Schnatz & Chiara Osbat & Rasmus Rueffer, 2003. "The rise of the Yen vis-a-vis the ('Synthetic') Euro: is it supported by economic fundamentals?," Working Paper Series 224, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  10. Francisco Maeso Fernandez & Bernd Schnatz & Chiara Osbat, 2001. "Determinants of the Euro real effective exchange rate: a BEER/PEER approach," Working Paper Series 085, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Marie-Josée Godbout & Simon van Norden, 1997. "Reconsidering Cointegration in International Finance: Three Case Studies of Size Distortion in Finite Samples," Working Papers 97-1, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  12. I. Aysun Gökcan & Erdal Özmen, 2001. "Do PPP and UIP Need Each Other in a Financially Open Economy? The Turkish Evidence," ERC Working Papers 0101, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Jan 2001. [Downloadable!]
  13. Nelson C. Mark & Young-Kyu Moh, 2005. "The real exchange rate and real interest differentials: the role of nonlinearities," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(4), pages 323-335. [Downloadable!]
  14. FrŽdŽrique BEC & MŽlika BEN SALEM & Ronald MACDONALD, 2006. "Real exchange rates and real interest rates : a nonlinear perspective," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 2006024, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES). [Downloadable!]
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  15. Mariam Camarero & Javier Ordóñez & Cecilio Tamarit, 2002. "The Euro-Dollar exchange rate: Is it fundamental?," European Economy Group Working Papers 16, European Economy Group. [Downloadable!]
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  16. Erdal Özmen & Aysun Gökcan, 2004. "Deviations from PPP and UIP in a financially open economy: the Turkish evidence," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(11), pages 779-784, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Jerry Coakley & Ana-Maria Fuertes & Andrew Wood, 2004. "A new interpretation of the exchange rate-yield differential nexus," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(3), pages 201-218. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  18. Mathias Hoffmann & Ronald MacDonald, 2003. "A Re-examination of the Link between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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