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Efeitos da taxa de câmbio na poupança interna : análise teórica e evidências empíricas para o caso brasileiro

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Author Info

  • Gala, Paulo Sérgio de Oliveira Simões
  • Araújo, Eliane
  • Pereira, Luiz Carlos Bresser

Abstract

Este trabalho tem como principal objetivo investigar as relações entre nível da taxa de câmbio real,poupança externa e poupança doméstica no Brasil. Dentro do modelo aqui explorado, casos desobrevalorização excessiva do câmbio real levam à redução de margens de lucro nos setores deprodução de bens comercializáveis, resultando numa queda importante no nível de poupança agregadadoméstica, bem como na substituição da poupança doméstica pela poupança externa. A análiseeconométrica realizada para a economia brasileira indica que há uma relação estável de longo prazoentre taxa de câmbio e poupança interna, e que desvalorizações relativas da taxa de câmbio real têmimpactos positivos e significantes sobre a poupança doméstica no período estudado. Além disso, osresultados das estimativas confirmam a existência de substituição de poupança doméstica por poupançaexterna

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil) in its series Textos para discussão with number 252.

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Date of creation: 26 May 2010
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Handle: RePEc:fgv:eesptd:252

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  1. Professor Bresser Pereira volta às suas raízes (mas talvez não saiba disso)
    by "O" Anonimo in A Mão Visível on 2010-07-23 06:19:00

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