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Política fiscal e crescimento econômico no Brasil e na América Latina

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  • Teles, Vladimir Kuhl

Abstract

Este artigo desenvolve um modelo de crescimento econômico endógeno com dívida pública onde o governo pode alocar seus gastos de diferentes formas. Assim, para aumentar gastos em educação ou infra-estrutura o governo tem de se endividar. Obtêm-se as condições fiscais pelas quais tais tipos de gastos podem ter seu efeito maximizado e os limites da sustentabilidade fiscal deste tipo de política são determinados. Os resultados deixam claro que os efeitos dos gastos produtivos do governo sobre o crescimento dependem do tamanho da dívida e do superávit primário configurando um cenário com equilíbrios múltiplos. Além disso a equação de crescimento obtida através do modelo teórico é estimada para a América Latina, comprovando as predições teóricas.

Suggested Citation

  • Teles, Vladimir Kuhl, 2010. "Política fiscal e crescimento econômico no Brasil e na América Latina," Textos para discussão 242, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:eesptd:242
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    JEL classification:

    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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