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Assessing Climate Change Impacts: Agriculture

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  • Francesco Bosello

    (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)

  • Jian Zhang

    (EEE Program, Abdus Salam International Center of Theoretical Physics)

Abstract

The economy-wide implications of climate change on agricultural sectors in 2050 are estimated using a static computable general equilibrium model. Peculiar to this exercise is the coupling of the economic model with a climatic model forecasting temperature increase in the relevant year and with a crop-growth model estimating climate change impact on cereal productivity. The main results of the study point out on the one hand the limited influence of climate change on world food supply and welfare; on the other hand its important distributional consequences as the stronger negative effects are concentrated on developing countries. The simulation exercise is introduced by a survey of the relevant literature.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei in its series Working Papers with number 2005.94.

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Date of creation: Jul 2005
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Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2005.94

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Keywords: Climate change; Computable general equilibrium models; Agriculture;

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Cited by:
  1. Quiroga, Sonia & Iglesias, Ana, 2008. "Economic valuation of the impacts of climate change in agriculture in Europe," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44180, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  2. Juan-Carlos Ciscar & László Szabó & Denise Regemorter & Antonio Soria, 2012. "The integration of PESETA sectoral economic impacts into the GEM-E3 Europe model: methodology and results," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 112(1), pages 127-142, May.
  3. Ruslana Palatnik & Roberto Roson, 2012. "Climate change and agriculture in computable general equilibrium models: alternative modeling strategies and data needs," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 112(3), pages 1085-1100, June.
  4. Zhang, Jian & gan, Jianbang, 2007. "Who will Meet China's Import Demand for Forest Products?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 2150-2160, December.
  5. Hung-Gay Fung & Jian Zhang, 2007. "An Assessment of the Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement Between China and Hong Kong," Chinese Economy, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 40(2), pages 36-50, April.
  6. Enrica De Cian & Elisa Lanzi & Roberto Roson, 2007. "The Impact of Temperature Change on Energy Demand: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," Working Papers 2007.46, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  7. Quiroga, Sonia & Iglesias, Ana, 2007. "Projections of economic impacts of climate change in agriculture in Europe," 101st Seminar, July 5-6, 2007, Berlin Germany 9264, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  8. Ana Iglesias & Luis Garrote & Sonia Quiroga & Marta Moneo, 2012. "A regional comparison of the effects of climate change on agricultural crops in Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 112(1), pages 29-46, May.
  9. Roberto Roson & Ruslana Rachel Palatnik, 2009. "Climate Change Assessment and Agriculture in General Equilibrium Models: Alternative Modeling Strategies," Working Papers 2009_08, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  10. Avanzini, Marco & Salvador, Isabella & Gios, Geremia, 2012. "Uomo e montagna tra economia tradizionale e cambiamenti climatici: il caso del Pasubio tra XVIII e XX secolo," Congress Papers 124126, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
  11. Leclere, David & Jayet, Pierre-Alain & de Noblet-Ducoudre, Nathalie, 2011. "Short-term Farm Level Adaptations of EU15 Agricultural Supply to Climate Change," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114391, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  12. Uzma Hanif & Shabib Haider Syed & Rafique Ahmad & Kauser Abdullah Malik, 2010. "Economic Impact of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector of Punjab," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 771–798.

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