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La deuda pública en España y en las Comunidades Autónomas

Author

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  • Manuel Díaz
  • Carmen Marín
  • Diego Martínez

Abstract

En este trabajo ofrecemos un análisis de los factores que han guiado la acumulación de deuda pública en el conjunto de las AA.PP. españolas, y en todas y cada una de las Comunidades Autónomas entre 2015 y 2021. Además, calculamos los esfuerzos de consolidación fiscal (en términos de saldo primario) que serían necesarios para alcanzar determinadas ratios de deuda pública/PIB alineadas con los valores de referencia que marca la legislación vigente. Asimismo, simulamos diferentes escenarios de futuro sobre la posible evolución del endeudamiento relativo de nuestras administraciones tras adoptar diferentes estrategias de consolidación fiscal. Todos nuestros resultados han sido sometidos a diferentes análisis de sensibilidad para evaluar su robustez. Nuestra principal conclusión es que, dado el volumen actual de endeudamiento de nuestras administraciones, los esfuerzos de consolidación fiscal requeridos a medio plazo son de una magnitud considerable.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Díaz & Carmen Marín & Diego Martínez, 2022. "La deuda pública en España y en las Comunidades Autónomas," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2022-28, FEDEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaeee:eee2022-28
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