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El saldo estructural de las Comunidades Autónomas, 2020-2021

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  • Manuel Díaz
  • Carmen Marín
  • Diego Martínez

Abstract

En este trabajo se aplica la metodología que sigue la Comisión Europea para descomponer el saldo presupuestario de las regiones en sus componentes cíclico y estructural para el periodo 2020-2021. Las Comunidades Autónomas han cerrado 2021 con un saldo en Contabilidad Nacional cercano al equilibrio presupuestario (-0,03% PIB). Sin embargo, este saldo no refleja la situación fiscal real de las regiones, debido a que está distorsionado por el efecto de la COVID sobre las cuentas públicas y el del ciclo económico. Las Comunidades Autónomas han recibido mayores ingresos por parte de la Administración Central en 2021 a través del Fondo Extraordinario (13.466 millones de euros) y de la Línea COVID (6.974 millones de euros). Estos recursos han cubierto con creces los gastos extraordinarios por COVID, dando lugar a un saldo positivo del 1% del PIB. En sentido contrario, las Comunidades Autónomas han visto reducidos sus ingresos en un 0,5% del PIB debido al ciclo económico. En suma, estos dos efectos dan lugar a un saldo estructural en 2021 del -0,4% del PIB.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Díaz & Carmen Marín & Diego Martínez, 2022. "El saldo estructural de las Comunidades Autónomas, 2020-2021," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2022-14, FEDEA.
  • Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaeee:eee2022-14
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