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Türkiye’de Cari Açık, Büyüme, Kur Ve Sermaye Hareketleri Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi

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  • Anıl Akçağlayan

    (Ankara University)

Abstract

Bu çalışmada 1992:01-2014:04 dönemine ait reel sanayi üretim endeksi, reel efektif döviz kuru, finans hesabı ve cari işlemler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi incelenmektedir. Toda-Yamamoto (1995) nedensellik analizi sınamalarının sonuçları cari işlemler dengesi ve finans hesabı arasında iki yönlü güçlü bir nedensellik ilişkisine işaret etmektedir. Gelir ve döviz kurundan cari işlemlere tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisi varlığı da bulgular arasındadır. Beklenenin aksine sermaye hareketlerinden kura ya da tersi yönde bir nedensellik ilişkisi bulunamamıştır.

Suggested Citation

  • Anıl Akçağlayan, 2015. "Türkiye’de Cari Açık, Büyüme, Kur Ve Sermaye Hareketleri Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi," EY International Congress on Economics II (EYC2015), November 5-6, 2015, Ankara, Turkey 218, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:eyd:cp2015:218
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