IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/eub/wp2014/2014-09.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Romanian Economy In The European Context, In 2014. Risks And Opportunities

Author

Listed:
  • Petru POPESCU

    (Faculty of Economics, Ecological University of Bucharest)

  • Ana Alexandrina POPESCU

    (Faculty of Economics, Ecological University of Bucharest)

Abstract

As presented in the financial newspaper dated 10.01.2014, an overview of 2014 would have to be given not only to macro indicators: exports - which are expected to keep pace at plus 8% next year and consumption - the they expect an increase of at least 2% after stagnating last year and investment - which would be good even after subtracting stall last year, but the pace of local companies. In Romania, the aggregate profits of the companies and their turnover is very little track indicators. According to the latest data from the Trade Registry, the turnover of all enterprises in Romania in 2012 was 1.128 billion lei (254 billion euros) and net profit aggregate (sum of net profits) was 66.7 billion lei (15 billion euros). For the 2013 data should be expected to deposit balances, in May-June 2014. In 2008, the best year after the Revolution as profits and sales for most companies in Romania, the total turnover of the 442, 000 local active companies was 1.088 billion lei, and the total profit was 73.2 billion lei. In other words, companies in Romania have not achieved profit in 2008 even in nominal terms, without inflation. A problem that is talked about very little is given that exceeds aggregate net profit by 5 billion lei net loss in Romania aggregate companies. In 2012, aggregate net loss (the sum of net losses of 200, 000 companies was written off in 2012) was 45 billion lei (10 billion euros). Therefore, if we look at all 442, 000 active companies in Romania with nonzero turnover as one big company, it would have a turnover in 2012 of 254 billion euros and a net profit of 5 billion euros, a net margin of just 2%. You cannot forecast or reveal trends without entering in depth business relationships in the economy, which is captured primarily by the evolution of corporate results, even if the annual quarter, as in the United States. Unfortunately, the economic debate in Romania intersection of micro and macroeconomics is quite low. Neither the Ministry of Finance, which has all the data available and the local companies on the other hand must rely on macro forecasts to make decisions on budgets, such correlations are not a priority, even at the level of analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Petru POPESCU & Ana Alexandrina POPESCU, 2014. "Romanian Economy In The European Context, In 2014. Risks And Opportunities," Post-Crisis Trends - Working papers 09, Ecological University of Bucharest, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:eub:wp2014:2014-09
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ueb.ro/RePEc/eub/wp2014/2014-09.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit European economy in 2014; risks and opportunities; European directives and regulations; measures of economic growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eub:wp2014:2014-09. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ciprian Alexandru (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.ueb.ro/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.