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Predicción de la insolvencia empresarial: uso de búsqueda tabú para selección de ratios explicativos


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    (Instituto de Empresa)


En este trabajo se diseña un método de selección de variables para análisis discriminante que se aplica al problema de predicción de la insolvencia. El método diseñado se basa en la estrategia metaheurística Búsqueda Tabú (BT). La BT lee una solución inicial y a partir ella explora de forma sistemática e "inteligente" el conjunto de soluciones. La BT consta de un procedimiento básico y de dos estrategias complementarias, denominadas Intensificación y Diversificación, que ayudan a hacer la búsqueda más robusta. Se estudia la eficacia de este método comparándolo con los algoritmos tradicionales de selección de variables empleados en el análisis discriminante (stepwise, backward y forward).

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Instituto de Empresa, Area of Economic Environment in its series Working Papers Economia with number wpe05-34.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:emp:wpaper:wpe05-34

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Keywords: Ratios; Búsqueda tabú; Análisis discriminante; Selección de variables; Insolvencia empresarial;

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