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Multi-layered rational inattention and time-varying volatility

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  • Hobler, Stephan

Abstract

Standard rational inattention models suppose that agents process noisy signals about otherwise fully revealing data. I show that introducing imperfect data quality yields new insights in settings in which volatility is time-varying. I impose a two-layered signal structure in which agents learn imperfectly about noisy sources. Treating data as only partially revealing of the true fundamental amplifies impulse responses to a second moment shock and, if data quality is sufficiently poor, can change the qualitative direction of the response. I apply my findings to the price-setting problem of firms and find that higher data quality enhances the transmission of monetary policy and reduces macroeconomic volatility. I also show how the empirically documented procyclicality of data quality has non-trivial implications for the Phillips curve.

Suggested Citation

  • Hobler, Stephan, 2022. "Multi-layered rational inattention and time-varying volatility," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 114913, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:114913
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    Keywords

    monetary policy; Phillips curve; rational inattention; Elsevier deal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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