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Leverage and Time-Varying Effects of Monetary Policy on the Stock Market

Author

Listed:
  • Severin Bernhard
  • Philip Vermeulen

Abstract

Using high-frequency identification, we investigate leverage of the firm and economy-wide leverage as determinants of the sensitivity of a firm's stock price to monetary policy announcements. We show that the effect of economy-wide leverage is substantially larger than the effect of the firm's own leverage. It is sufficient for the response of a firm's stock price to strengthen that other firms in the economy become more leveraged. We further show that economy-wide leverage fluctuations explain the time-varying effects of monetary policy on stock prices. Our results are robust controlling for a variety of common business cycle variables and household leverage.

Suggested Citation

  • Severin Bernhard & Philip Vermeulen, 2023. "Leverage and Time-Varying Effects of Monetary Policy on the Stock Market," CAMA Working Papers 2023-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2023-07
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    File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/cama_crawford_anu_edu_au/2023-01/7_2023_bernhard_vermeulen.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; stock returns; leverage;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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