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An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Estonia

Author

Listed:
  • Paolo Gelain
  • Dmitry Kulikov

Abstract

This paper presents an estimated open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Estonia. The model is designed to highlight the main driving forces behind the Estonian business cycle and to understand how euro area economic shocks and its monetary policy affect the small open economy of Estonia. The model described in this paper is a two-area DSGE model incorporating New Keynesian features such as nominal price and wage rigidity, variable capital utilization, investment adjustment costs, as well as other typical features - both for the domestic and euro area part of the model. It is rich in structural shocks such as technology, consumption preference, mark-up, etc. The model is estimated by Bayesian techniques using a quarterly data sample that covers main macroeconomic aggregates of Estonia and the euro area. The ultimate goal of the new model is for it to be used in simulation exercises, policy advice and forecasting at the Bank of Estonia

Suggested Citation

  • Paolo Gelain & Dmitry Kulikov, 2009. "An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Estonia," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2009-5, Bank of Estonia, revised 30 Dec 2009.
    • Handle: RePEc:eea:boewps:wp2009-05
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    File URL: http://www.eestipank.info/pub/en/dokumendid/publikatsioonid/seeriad/uuringud/_2009/_5_2009/_wp_509.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Boris Blagov, 2018. "Financial crises and time-varying risk premia in a small open economy: a Markov-switching DSGE model for Estonia," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1017-1060, May.
    2. Viktors Ajevskis & Kristine Vitola, 2011. "Fixed Exchange Rate Versus Inflation Targeting: Evidence from DSGE Modelling," Working Papers 2011/02, Latvijas Banka.
    3. Juha Kilponen & Massimiliano Pisani & Sebastian Schmidt & Vesna Corbo & Tibor Hledik & Josef Hollmayr & Samuel Hurtado & Paulo Júlio & Dmitry Kulikov & Matthieu Lemoine & Matija Lozej & Henrik Lundval, 2019. "Comparing Fiscal Consolidation Multipliers across Models in Europe," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(3), pages 285-320, September.
    4. Kawther Alimi & Mohamed Chakroun, 2022. "Wage Rigidity Impacts on Unemployment and Inflation Persistence in Tunisia: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(1), pages 474-500, March.
    5. Vladimir Arčabić, 2016. "Technology, employment and the business cycle in post-transition countries of the EU," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 537-560, October.
    6. Mara Pirovano, 2013. "Household and firm leverage, capital flows and monetary policy in a small open economy," Working Paper Research 246, National Bank of Belgium.
    7. Koskinen Hannu & Vilmunen Jouko, 2018. "Implications for Aggregate Inflation of Sectoral Asymmetries: An Empirical Implication," Working Papers 1818, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
    8. de Walque, Gregory & Pisani, Massimiliano & Kilponen, Juha & Thomas, Carlos & Hlédik, Tibor & Hurtado, Samuel & Hollmayr, Josef & Corbo, Vesna & Schmidt, Sebastian & Micallef, Brian & Maria, José R. &, 2015. "Comparing fiscal multipliers across models and countries in Europe," Working Paper Series 1760, European Central Bank.
    9. Hilary Patroba, 2018. "Credit frictions and co-movement of durable and non-durable goods in a small open economy," Working Papers 730, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    10. Koskinen Hannu & Vilmunen Jouko, 2017. "Implications for Aggregate Inflation of Sectoral Asymmetries : Generalizing Woodford," Working Papers 1716, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; New Keynesian models; small open economy; Bayesian statistical inference;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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