The Pivotal Voter Model: Evidence from Texas Liquor Referenda
AbstractWe use data from Texas liquor referenda to evaluate the performance of the pivotal-voter theory of voter turnout. We structurally estimate the parameters of a pivotal-voter model using the referendum data. We then use the estimates to evaluate the out of sample performance of the model. Finally, we compare the performance of the model with alternative voting models based on the group rule-utilitarian theory of turnout and on the "intensity hypothesis".
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings with number 440.
Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Pivotal Voter model; Political Economy;
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- D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
- H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General
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