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Conditional Treatment and Its Effect on Recidivism

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Author Info
Jose Raimundo Carvalho
Herman Bierens

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Abstract

The objective of this paper is to evaluate the effect of the 1985 “Employment Services for Ex-Offenders†(ESEO) program on recidivism. Initially, the sample has been split randomly in a control group and a treatment group. However, the actual treatment (mainly being job related counseling) only takes place conditional on finding a job, and not having been arrested, for those selected in the treatment group. We use a multiple proportional hazard model with unobserved heterogeneity for job search and recidivism time which incorporates the conditional treatment effect. We find that the program helps to reduce criminal activity, contrary to the result of the previous analysis of this data set. This finding is important for crime prevention policy

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings with number 84.

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Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:latm04:84

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Related research
Keywords: Econometric Evaluation; Recidivism; Multiple Durations;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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