Partial Identification of Poverty Measures with Contaminated Data
AbstractMuch of the statistical analysis for poverty measurement regards the data employed to estimate poverty statistics as error-free observations. However, it is amply recognized that surveys responses are not perfectly reliable and that the quality of the data is often poor, especially for developing countries. Robust estimation addresses this problem by searching for poverty measures that are not highly sensitive to errors in the data. However, given the assumptions of robust estimation, the rationale for point estimation is not apparent. In the present study we tackle the problem by implementing a different strategy. Since a particular poverty measure is not point identified under the assumptions of robust estimation and some outcomes that are possible ex ante are ruled out ex post, we apply a fully non-parametric method to show that for the family of additively separable poverty measures it is possible to find identification regions under very mild assumptions. We investigate the sensitivity of the bounds of these identification regions to contamination for the class of Pa poverty measures, showing that there exists an a-ordering for the elasticities of these bounds with respect to the amount of contamination. We apply two conceptually different confidence intervals for partially identified poverty measures: the first type of confidence interval covers the entire identification region, while the other covers each element of the identification region with fixed probability. The methodology developed in the paper is applied to analyze rural poverty in Mexico
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings with number 221.
Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Poverty Measurement; Bounds; Partial Identification; Contamination Model; Identification Regions; Confidence Intervals;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
- I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
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- Molinari, Francesca, 2005.
05-11, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics.
- Cheti Nicoletti & Franco Peracchi & Francesca Foliano, 2009.
"Estimating Income Poverty in the Presence of Missing Data and Measurement Error,"
CEIS Research Paper
145, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 30 Sep 2009.
- Nicoletti, Cheti & Peracchi, Franco & Foliano, Francesca, 2011. "Estimating Income Poverty in the Presence of Missing Data and Measurement Error," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 61-72.
- Cheti Nicoletti & Franco Peracchi & Francesca Foliano, 2009. "Estimating Income Poverty in the Presence of Missing Data and Measurement Error," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 252, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
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