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In What Form Will the Eurozone Emerge from the Crisis?

Author

Listed:
  • Allen, Franklin

    (University of PA)

  • Ngai, Victor

    (University of PA)

Abstract

The Eurozone is in the midst of a deep crisis. We argue that the attempts to control government deficits and debts using the Stability and Growth Pact have failed. Moreover, austerity policies are inducing downward spirals in terms of growth. Political leaders have promised deeper political, fiscal and banking union. However, this will take many years to implement. We argue that in the meantime in order to save the euro, allowing default and temporary exit from the Eurozone is desirable as these policies are capable of initiating significant growth in the short run. This will allow Greece and possibly other countries that adopt them to bring down their unemployment, particularly youth unemployment, in a reasonable time frame.

Suggested Citation

  • Allen, Franklin & Ngai, Victor, 2012. "In What Form Will the Eurozone Emerge from the Crisis?," Working Papers 12-13, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecl:upafin:12-13
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    File URL: http://fic.wharton.upenn.edu/fic/papers/12/12-13.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Stelios Bekiros & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rania Jammazi & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2018. "Sovereign bond market dependencies and crisis transmission around the eurozone debt crisis: a dynamic copula approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(47), pages 5031-5049, October.
    2. Alberto Botta, 2012. "Conflicting Claims in the Eurozone? Austerity’s Myopic Logic and the Need for a European Federal Union in a post-Keynesian Eurozone Center-Periphery Model," DEM Working Papers Series 011, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    3. Alexander Michaelides, 2012. "Banking Crisis in Cyprus and in the Eurozone," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 6(2), pages 41-47, December.
    4. Sarafrazi, Soodabeh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & AraújoSantos, Paulo, 2014. "Downside risk, portfolio diversification and the financial crisis in the euro-zone," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 368-396.
    5. Christian Keuschnigg & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2015. "Macroeconomic Adjustment and Institutional Reforms in the Euro Area," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 21(3), pages 275-285, August.
    6. Franklin Allen, 2012. "Commentary: the ‘big C”: identifying and mitigating contagion," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 89-96.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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