This file is part of IDEAS, which uses RePEc data


[ Papers | Articles | Software | Books | Chapters | Authors | Institutions | JEL Classification | NEP reports | Search | New papers by email | Author registration | Rankings | Volunteers | FAQ | Blog | Help! ]

Aggregate Population and Economic Growth Correlations: The Role of the Components of Demographic Change

Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics
Author Info
Kelley, Allen C.
Schmidt, Robert M.
Abstract

The results of recent correlations showing a negative impact of population growth on economic development in cross-country data for the 1980s, versus "non-significant" correlations widely found for the 1960s and 1970s, are examined using contemporaneous and lagged components of demographic change, convergence-type economic modeling, and several statistical frameworks. The separate impacts of births and deaths are found to be notable but offsetting in the earlier periods. In contrast, the short-run costs (benefits) of births (mortality reduction) increase (decrease) significantly in the 1980s, and the favorable labor- force impacts of past births are not fully offsetting.

Download Info
To download:

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. Information about this may be contained in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help file. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://www.econ.duke.edu/pub/kelley/agg-pop.ps
File Format:
File Function: main text
Download Restriction: no

Publisher Info
Paper provided by Duke University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 95-37.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML, plain text, BibTeX, RIS (EndNote), ReDIF
Length:
Date of creation: 1995
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in DEMOGRAPHY, Vol. 32, 1995, pages 543-555
Handle: RePEc:duk:dukeec:95-37

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Department of Economics Duke University 213 Social Sciences Building Box 90097 Durham, NC 27708-0097
Phone: (919) 660-1800
Fax: (919) 684-8974
Web page: http://www.econ.duke.edu/

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Department of Economics Webmaster).

Related research
Keywords:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
O4 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. David E. Bloom & David Canning & Günther Fink & Jocelyn E. Finlay, 2008. "The High Cost of Low Fertility in Europe," PGDA Working Papers 3208, Program on the Global Demography of Aging. [Downloadable!]
  2. Raouf, BOUCEKKINE & Bity, DIENE & Théophile, AZOMAHOU, 2007. "A closer look at the relationship between life expectancy and economic growth," Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Working Paper 2007043, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Kanayo Ogujiuba, 2005. "Challenges of Population Dynamics in Nigeria: Implications for Household’s Portfolio Choices," Microeconomics 0512007, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Tapas K., MISHRA, 2004. "The Role of Components of Demographic Change in Economic Development : Whither the Trend ?," Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Discussion Paper 2004023, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES). [Downloadable!]
  5. Rosa Aísa & Fernando Pueyo, 2004. "Endogenous longevity, health and economic growth: a slow growth for a longer life?," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 9(3), pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
  6. Brantley Liddle, 2003. "Developing country growth collapse revisited: demographic influences and regional differences," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2003-007, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  7. Frederic Tournemaine, 2007. "Can population promote income per-capita growth? A balanced perspective," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 15(8), pages 1-7. [Downloadable!]
  8. Hongbin Li & Junsen Zhang & Jie Zhang, . "Effects of longevity and dependency rates on saving and growth: Evidence from a panel of cross countries," MRG Discussion Paper Series 1106, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. David E. Bloom & David Canning & Günther Fink & Jocelyn E. Finlay, 2007. "Fertility, Female Labor Force Participation, and the Demographic Dividend," NBER Working Papers 13583, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  10. Raouf, BOUCEKKINE & David de la Croix, 2004. "Modelling vintage structures with DDEs : principles and applications," Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Discussion Paper 2004004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Tapas K. Mishra, 2006. "A Further Look into the Demography-based GDP Forecasting Method," Working Papers of BETA 2006-17, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, ULP, Strasbourg. [Downloadable!]
  12. Andrew Mason & Ronald Lee & An-Chi Tung & Mun-Sim Lai & Tim Miller, 2006. "Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Accounts," NBER Working Papers 12770, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. David E. Bloom & David Canning & Jaypee Sevilla, 2001. "Economic Growth and the Demographic Transition," NBER Working Papers 8685, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Boucekkine, Raouf & de la Croix, David & Licandro, Omar, 2000. "Vintage Human Capital, Demographic Trends and Endogenous Growth," Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Discussion Paper 2000007, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. David E. Bloom & David Canning & Pia N. Malaney, 1999. "Demographic Change and Economic Growth in Asia," CID Working Papers 15, Center for International Development at Harvard University. [Downloadable!]
  16. Cruz A. Echevarria & Amaia Iza, 2005. "Life Expectancy, Human Capital, Social Security and Growth," DFAEII Working Papers 200517, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, revised 16 Nov 2006. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  17. Raouf, BOUCEKKINE & David, DE LA CROIX & Dominique, PEETERS, 2005. "Early Literacy Achievements, Population Density and the Transition to Modern Growth," Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Working Paper 2005023, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  18. David E. Bloom & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 1997. "Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia," NBER Working Papers 6268, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  19. Eric Rougier, 1999. "Les conséquences économiques de la croissance démographique : 35 ans de débat entre orthodoxie et relativisme," Documents de travail 33, Centre d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV. [Downloadable!]
Statistics
Access and download statistics

Did you know? IDEAS also indexes books.

This page was last updated on 2008-10-2.


This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.