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Analysing fertility trends through Schmertmann's model: Italy and Sweden compared

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  • Alessandra Carioli
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    Abstract

    Using age specific fertility rates of Italian and Swedish women aged between 15 and 49 years old I examine the presence of fertility postponement in period and cohort outputs. Period data consist of standard five-year age group rates ranging from 1960 to 2005. Cohort data are arranged on age specific year groups born between years 1930-1970. The method used in this work is based upon quadratic spline interpolation procedure, developed by Carl P. Schmertmann (2003), in which three index ages determine the schedules shape. The recent fertility postponing behavior is investigated through the help of five index ages, which show the dynamics of postponement both in cohort and period data.

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    File URL: ftp://ftp.dondena.unibocconi.it/WorkingPapers/Dondena_WP004.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by "Carlo F. Dondena" Centre for Research on Social Dynamics (DONDENA), Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi in its series Working Papers with number 004.

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    Length: 27 pages
    Date of creation: Jul 2008
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:don:donwpa:004

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    Related research

    Keywords: Second Demographic Transition; fertility trends; postponement; quadratic spline interpolation; Italy; Sweden;

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