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Konzessionsmodelle für Fernstraßen in Deutschland: eine ökonomische Analyse der Risikoallokation beim F- und A-Modell

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Author Info
Thorsten Beckers
Christian von Hirschhausen

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Abstract

In diesem Beitrag wird die Risikoallokation bei Betreibermodellen für Bundesfernstraßen nach dem F- und A-Modell untersucht. Zunächst werden kurz die Defizite des traditionellen Modells der Herstellung und Bereitstellung von Fernstraßen in Deutschland dargestellt und die Struktur der beiden Konzessionsmodelle bewertet. Dann werden Handlungsempfehlungen zur Risikoallokation bei Konzessionsmodellen für Straßeninfrastruktur abgeleitet und die Risikoallokation beim F- und beim A-Modell analysiert. Bei beiden Modellen weist die Risikoallokation große Schwachstellen auf. Es wird empfohlen, Konzessionen nach dem FModell zukünftig in Anlehnung an das Barwertmodell zu vergeben. Wesentlicher Kritikpunkt an der Risikoallokation beim A-Modell ist die Übertragung des Verkehrsmengenrisikos auch nach der Bauphase an den Konzessionär; es ist unklar, ob das A-Modell kompatibel mit zukünftigen Privatisierungs- bzw. Organisationskonzepten für die Bundesautobahnen ist.

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Paper provided by DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research in its series Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin with number 388.

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Length: 30 p.
Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp388

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Related research
Keywords: Concession models; Germany; highways; infrastructure; regulation; risk allocation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation
L92 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Railroads and Other Surface Transportation
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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  1. Arrow, Kenneth J & Lind, Robert C, 1970. "Uncertainty and the Evaluation of Public Investment Decisions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 60(3), pages 364-78, June.
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