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The distributional effects of growth : case studies vs. Cross-country regressions

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François Bourguignon

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Abstract

Considerable attention has been devoted lately to the empirical relationship between growth and inequality. Mostly based on cross-sectional econometric analysis, this literature is largely inconclusive in the sense that no systematically significant relationship has been found between distribution indicators and growth rates or their known determinants. Were such a result granted, it would be tempting to conclude that ‘growth is good for the poor’ whatever the nature of growth, as recently done in an influential paper by Dollar and Kraay (2001). The present paper adopts a different perspective. Using a few case studies and an original micro-economic methodology for decomposing time changes in the distribution of income, it shows that important socio-demographic factors are at work that may contribute to hiding the true distributional consequences of growth during a particular period of time in a given country. Because of the inherent difficulty of controlling for these factors, aggregate cross-country analysis may thus not be the best method for the study of the growth-inequality relationship.

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Paper provided by DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure) in its series DELTA Working Papers with number 2002-23.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:del:abcdef:2002-23

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Ferreira, Francisco H. G. & Paes de Barrios, Ricardo, 1999. "The slippery slope : explaining the increase in extreme poverty in urban Brazil, 1976-96," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2210, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Juhn, Chinhui & Murphy, Kevin M & Pierce, Brooks, 1993. "Wage Inequality and the Rise in Returns to Skill," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(3), pages 410-42, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Hyeok Jeong & Robert M. Townsend, 2003. "Growth and Inequality: Model Evaluation Based on an Estimation-Calibration Strategy," IEPR Working Papers 05.10, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR). [Downloadable!]
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  2. Grabiella Berloffa & Maria Luigia Segnana, 2004. "Trade, inequality and pro-poor growth: Two perspectives, one message?," Department of Economics Working Papers 0408, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia. [Downloadable!]
  3. Luo, Xubei & Zhu, Nong, 2008. "Rising income inequality in China : a race to the top," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4700, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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