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Risk, Nonconvergence and Cycles: A Two-Country Model

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Author Info
Tomoo Kikuchi
Abstract

We develop an overlapping generations model with asset and capital accumulation to analyze the interaction between the real economy and international asset markets. The world consists of two homogenous countries with an integrated asset market, which differ only in levels of their capital stock. Two period lived consumers transfer wealth over time and across countries by holding international assets with stochastic dividends. Short sale of assets allows poor economy to take credit for productive investment. Yet, risk aversion and expectations may preclude capital stock of both countries from converging while capital flows from the rich to the poor country. The poor country needs sufficiently high capital stock initially to catch up with the rich country. Cycles in capital stocks and international capital flows occur.

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File URL: http://www.degit.ifw-kiel.de/papers/degit_11/C011_016.pdf
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Paper provided by DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade in its series DEGIT Conference Papers with number c011_016.

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Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:deg:conpap:c011_016

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Related research
Keywords: International asset market; endogenous cycles; two-country model;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Galor, Oded, 1996. "Convergence? Inferences from Theoretical Models," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(437), pages 1056-69, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. repec:cup:macdyn:v:6:y:2002:i:5:p:687-712 is not listed on IDEAS
  3. B hm, Volker & Wenzelburger, Jan, 2002. "Perfect Predictions In Economic Dynamical Systems With Random Perturbations," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(05), pages 687-712, November. [Downloadable!]
  4. Volker Bohm & Carl Chiarella, 2000. "Mean Variance Preferences, Expectations Formation, and the Dynamics of Random Asset Prices," Research Paper Series 46, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Kiminori Matsuyama, 2004. "Financial Market Globalization, Symmetry-Breaking, and Endogenous Inequality of Nations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 853-884, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Day, Richard H, 1983. "The Emergence of Chaos from Classical Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 98(2), pages 201-13, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Boyd, John H. & Smith, Bruce D., 1997. "Capital Market Imperfections, International Credit Markets, and Nonconvergence," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 335-364, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1990. "Why Doesn't Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 92-96, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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