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Modelling Manufactured Exports: Evidence for Asian Newly Industrialising Economies


Author Info

  • Francis In
  • Pasquale Sgro
  • Jai-Hyung Yoon


This paper examines the determinants of export growth for four of the Asian newly industrialising economies (NIEs): Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. Using the framework of cointegration and error correction modelling, it is found that, in the case of Singapore, income effects, competitiveness (relative price effects) and exchange rate effects are the dominant sources of export growth while in Korea’s case, these same variables are less significant in explaining export growth. In the case of Taiwan, income effects and exchange rate effect are more dominant than relative price effects and domestic factors such as exchange rate, and export prices have more significantly affected export growth in Hong Kong. Overall, the most significant variable in explaining export growth in the NIEs is the exchange rate. The empirical evidence indicates that the J-curve does exist for these NIE exports.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University in its series Asia Pacific Economic Papers with number 277.

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Length: 16 pages
Date of creation: Mar 1998
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:csg:ajrcau:277

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