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The Effects of Immigration Inflows on the Sustainability of the Italian Welfare States

Author

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  • Flavia Coda Moscarola

    (Center for research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin)

Abstract

This paper implements a set of generational accounts to estimate the impact of immigration on the sustainability of the Italian welfare state. Italians’ net tax-age profiles are reconstructed on the basis of surveys; most of the immigrants’ net tax-age profiles are reconstructed indirectly. According to our estimates immigration can only partly relieve the burden that current fiscal policy will put on future generations. In the baseline case immigrants’ total net taxes reduce the intergenerational imbalance by only 6 percentage points. Interestingly, immigration appears to be more effective in this regard if the immigrants stay in Italy until they die. However, immigration alone cannot restore long-term solvency. Fundamental reform is needed.

Suggested Citation

  • Flavia Coda Moscarola, 2001. "The Effects of Immigration Inflows on the Sustainability of the Italian Welfare States," CeRP Working Papers 06, Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy).
    • Handle: RePEc:crp:wpaper:06
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    Cited by:

    1. Victoria Chorny & Rob Euwals & Kees Folmer, 2007. "Immigration policy and welfare state design; a qualitative approach to explore the interaction," CPB Document 153, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    2. Willi Leibfritz & Paul O'Brien & Jean-Christophe Dumont, 2003. "Effects of Immigration on Labour Markets and Government Budgets - An Overview," CESifo Working Paper Series 874, CESifo.
    3. Bendetta Frassi & Christian Hagist & Fabio Pammolli, 2017. "Who is this, who enters there? - Migration in Italy and its effect on fiscal sustainability and pensions," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 17-01, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.

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