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Currency Substitution and the Fluctuations of Foreign-Exchange Reserves with Credibly Fixed Exchange Rates

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  • Giovannini, Alberto

Abstract

A fixed-exchange-rate system is characterized by two pillars: monetary policy coordination and foreign exchange reserves. This paper concentrates on the fluctuation of foreign exchange reserves by taking monetary policy coordination as given: the sustainability of the fixed exchange rate regime is insured via a cointegration restriction on the path of money supplies. The paper considers three types of cash-in-advance models of money demand. The first two types are more traditional models where the cash-in-advance constraint is applied on the goods produced in the two countries. The third type is a model where cash is required in transactions with the government. The main finding is that when the exchange rate is credibly fixed, currencies are perfectly substitutable as stores of value although they might not be perfectly substitutable as transactions media. While the total demand for money is always determined, the composition of foreign exchange reserves might be indeterminate if currencies are held for store-of-value purposes only.

Suggested Citation

  • Giovannini, Alberto, 1991. "Currency Substitution and the Fluctuations of Foreign-Exchange Reserves with Credibly Fixed Exchange Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 535, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:535
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. David Fernando LOPEZ ANGARITA, 2006. "Nivel óptimo de Reservas Internacionales y crisis cambiaria en Colombia," Archivos de Economía 3273, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
    2. Pavel Trunin & Sergey Narkevich, 2013. "Prospects for the Russian Ruble to Become Regional Reserve Currency," Working Papers 118, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2015.
    3. Narkevich, Siarhei & Trunin, Pavel, 2013. "Prospects for the Russian Ruble as a Regional Reserve Currency," Published Papers dok2, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    4. Sergey Narkevich & Pavel Trunin, 2012. "Reserve Currencies: Factors of Evolution and their Role in the World Economy," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 162P.
    5. Alberto Giovannini & Bart Turtelboom, 1992. "Currency Substitution," NBER Working Papers 4232, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Alberto Carrasquilla, 1995. "Demanda por Reservas bajo Bandas Cambiarias," Borradores de Economia 029, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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