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The Hyperinflation Model of Money Demand Revisited

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Taylor, Mark P

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Abstract

In this paper we propose a test of the hyperinflation model of money demand, which is valid under any assumption concerning agents' expectations, subject only to the restriction that forecasting errors are stationary. It is also demonstrated that highly efficient estimates of the model can be obtained, and restrictions on them tested, under the same weak assumption. Finally, it is shown of rational expectation. The arguments are illustrated by analysis of the classic data on European hyperflations previously analysed by Cagan (1956), Barro (1970) and Abel, Dornbusch, Huizinga and Marcus (1979).

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 473.

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Date of creation: Oct 1990
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:473

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Related research
Keywords: Co Integration; Expectations; Hyperinflation; Money Demand;

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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
  1. Atanas Christev, 2005. "The Hyperinflation Model of Money Demand (or Cagan Revisited): Some New Empirical Evidence from the 1990s," CERT Discussion Papers 0507, Centre for Economic Reform and Transformation, Heriot Watt University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Imad Moosa, 1999. "Testing the currency-substitution model under the German hyperinflation," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 70(1), pages 61-78, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Katarina Juselius & Zorica Mladenovic, 2002. "High Inflation, Hyperinflation and Explosive Roots. The Case of Yugoslavia," Discussion Papers 02-23, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Nienke Oomes & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2005. "Money Demand and Inflation in Dollarized Economies: The Case of Russia," IMF Working Papers 05/144, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Alexei Deviatov & Neil Wallace, 2006. "Estimating a Cagan-type demand function for gold: 1561-1913," Working Papers w0080, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR). [Downloadable!]
  6. Dimitris Georgoutsos & George Kouretas, 2000. "A Multivariate I(2) Cointegration Analysis Of German Hyperinflation," Working Papers 0001, University of Crete, Department of Economics, revised 00 Jul 2001. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Kate Phylaktis & David Blake, 1993. "The fisher hypothesis: Evidence from three high inflation economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 129(3), pages 591-599, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Mª Jose Gutierrez & Jesús Vazquez, 2003. "Explosive Hyperinflation, Inflation Tax Laffer Curve and Modelling the use of Money," DFAEII Working Papers 200227, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II. [Downloadable!]
  9. Nielsen, Bent, 2008. "On the Explosive Nature of Hyper-Inflation Data," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 2(21), pages 1-29. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. James Boughton, 1992. "International comparisons of money demand," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 323-343, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Stefka Slavova, 2003. "Money demand during hyperinflation and stabilization: Bulgaria, 1991-2000," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(11), pages 1303-1316, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Yu Hsing, 2006. "Tests Of Functional Forms, Currency Substitution, And Capital Mobility Of Czech Money Demand Function," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2006(4), pages 291-299. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Jesús Vazquez, 1995. "The relative importance of inflation and currency depreciation in the demand for money: an application of the estimation by simulation method to the German hyperinflation," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 19(2), pages 269-289, May. [Downloadable!]
  14. Ellis W. Tallman & Ping Wang, 1993. "Money demand and relative prices during episodes of hyperinflation," Research Paper 9307, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. HSING, Yu, 2007. "Tests of the functional form, the substitution effect, and the wealth effect of Mexico’s money demand function," REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA DEL ROSARIO, UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO - FACULTAD DE ECONOMÍA. [Downloadable!]
  16. Evens SALIES & Peter MOFFATT, 2004. "A note on the modelling of hyper-inflations," Econometrics 0406002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  17. Bent Nielsen, 2005. "Analysis of co-explosive processes," Economics Papers 2005-W08, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  18. Mark A. Hooker, 1997. "Misspecification versus bubbles in hyperinflation data: Monte Carlo and interwar European evidence," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  19. Peter Moffatt & Evens Salies, 2003. "A note on the modelling of hyper-inflations," City University Economics Discussion Papers 03/02, Department of Economics, City University, London. [Downloadable!]
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