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Nonlinear Dynamics, Spillovers and Growth in the G7 Economies: An Empirical Investigation

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Sarno, Lucio

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Abstract

This paper proposes an empirical growth model which is consistent with a stochastic steady-state labour productivity level varying over time and across countries, where the disequilibrium mechanism leading to long-run equilibrium follows a nonlinear equilibrium correction model. Using data for the G7 economies during the postwar period since 1950, the empirical analysis yields a long-run model which implies plausible estimates of the production function parameters. Postwar economic growth in each of the G7 countries appears to be well characterized by a nonlinear equilibrium correction model where the dynamic adjustment towards long-run equilibrium is governed by a logistic function, while also capturing spillover effects in growth dynamics.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 2537.

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Date of creation: Aug 2000
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2537

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Related research
Keywords: Economic Growth; Equilibrium Correction; Nonlinear Dynamics; Spillover;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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  1. Nevin Cavusoglu & Edinaldo Tebaldi, 2006. "Evaluating growth theories and their empirical support: An assessment of the convergence hypothesis," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 49-75, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Mody, Ashoka & Sarno, Lucio & Taylor, Mark P, 2005. "A Cross-Country Financial Accelerator: Evidence from North America and Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 5037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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