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Complementarity, Growth and Trade

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  • Honkapohja, Seppo
  • Turunen-Red, Arja

Abstract

We consider an endogenous growth model that includes international trade in capital goods. The model yields several distinct balanced growth solutions that can be classified using stability under adaptive learning. Some of the equilibria can involve growth rates much higher (or lower) than others. The impact of international trade on the equilibria include local (differential) effects and global bifurcation (global) changes. If a favourable bifurcation occurs, equilibria associated with low growth disappear. This phenomenon suggests a possible explanation for observations in which active international trade by some countries seems to have been associated with periods of exceptionally high growth. We show that equivalent bifurcation effects can be induced in autarky using domestic industry subsidies. However, such subsidization can be very costly.

Suggested Citation

  • Honkapohja, Seppo & Turunen-Red, Arja, 1999. "Complementarity, Growth and Trade," CEPR Discussion Papers 2234, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2234
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    Cited by:

    1. Seppo Honkapohja & Arja H. Turunen-Red & Alan D. Woodland, 2016. "Growth, expectations and tariffs," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1441-1469, November.
    2. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2011_009 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Honkapohja ,S. & Turunen-Red, A., 2004. "Gains and Losses from Tax Competition with Migration," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0416, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Christine Mutz & Thomas Ziesemer, 2008. "Simultaneous estimation of income and price elasticities of export demand, scale economies and total factor productivity growth for Brazil," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(22), pages 2921-2937.
    5. Seppo Honkapohja & Arja H. Turunen-Red & Alan D. Woodland, 2016. "Growth, expectations and tariffs," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1441-1469, November.
    6. Waters, George A., 2007. "Regime changes, learning and monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 255-282, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Innovation; International Trade; Multiple Equilbria; Technology Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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