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Scared Straight? Threat and Assimilation of Refugees in Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Tabellini, Marco
  • Jaschke, Philipp
  • Sardoschau, Sulin

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of threat on convergence to local culture and on economic assimilation of refugees, exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in their allocation across German regions between 2013 and 2016. We combine novel survey data on cultural preferences and economic outcomes of refugees with corresponding information on locals, and construct a threat index that integrates contemporaneous and historical variables. On average, refugees assimilate both culturally and economically. However, while refugees assigned to more hostile regions converge to local culture more quickly, they do not exhibit faster economic assimilation. We provide evidence consistent with the hypothesis that refugees exert more assimilation effort in response to local threat, but fail to successfully integrate because of higher discrimination by locals in more hostile regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Tabellini, Marco & Jaschke, Philipp & Sardoschau, Sulin, 2021. "Scared Straight? Threat and Assimilation of Refugees in Germany," CEPR Discussion Papers 16849, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16849
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Migration; Refugees; Culture; Assimilation; Identity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
    • Z10 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - General

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