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Transition and the Output Fall

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Author Info
Roland, Gérard
Verdier, Thierry

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Abstract

This paper presents a model that explains why in the transition economies of Central and Eastern Europe an important output fall has been associated with price liberalization. Its key ingredients are search frictions and Williamsonian relation-specific investment implying that new investments are made only after a new long-term partner has been found. When all firms search for new partners, output may fall because of three effects: a) disruption of previous production links; b) a fall in investment; and c) capital depreciation due to the absence of replacement investment. We show that forms of gradual liberalization like the Chinese ‘dual-track’ price liberalization may avoid or reduce the transitory output fall.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 1636.

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Date of creation: May 1997
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1636

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Related research
Keywords: Asset Specificity; Output Fall; Search; Transition;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior
D50 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - General
E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
P41 - Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Planning, Coordination, and Reform
P51 - Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Analysis of Economic Systems

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