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Putting Things in Order: Patterns of Trade Dynamics and Macroeconomics

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  • Feenstra, Robert
  • Rose, Andrew K

Abstract

This paper develops a procedure to rank-order countries and commodities using disaggregated US imports data. It finds strong evidence that both countries and commodities can be ranked, consistent with the ‘product cycle’ hypothesis. Countries habitually begin to export goods to the United States according to an ordering; goods are also exported in order. We estimate these orderings using a semi-parametric methodology that takes account of the fact that most goods are not exported by most countries in the sample. The orderings seem sensible, robust and intuitive. For instance, the country rankings derived from disaggregated trade data turn out to be highly correlated with macroeconomic phenomena such as national productivity levels and growth rates.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 1629.

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Date of creation: May 1997
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1629

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Related research

Keywords: Bilateral; Commodity; Country; Data; dis-aggregate; Empirical; Missing; Product Cycle; Rank; Semi-parametric; SITC;

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Cited by:
  1. Richard E. Baldwin & Rikard Forslid, 2006. "Trade Liberalization with Heterogenous Firms," NBER Working Papers 12192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Richard Baldwin, 2005. "Heterogeneous Firms and Trade: Testable and Untestable Properties of the Melitz Model," NBER Working Papers 11471, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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