IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cpm/cepmap/9810.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Feedback covariates unit root tests : an application to the sustainability of fiscal policy

Author

Listed:
  • Fève, Patrick
  • Hénin, Pierre-Yves
  • Jolivaldt, Philippe

Abstract

Sustainability tests often ignore the joint dynamics of stock and flow variables. This paper shows that such a practice leads to inappropriate statistical inference, and that taking into account this joint dynamics when testing for unit root induces large power gains. This paper introduces a new statistics denoted FADF (Feedback augmented Dickey Fuller), which fully combines feedback effects and covariates. The paper derives the limit distribution of the test statistic and comments on the asymptotic power functions. A simulation study and an empirical application based on US public debt sustainability illustrate the potential of this approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Fève, Patrick & Hénin, Pierre-Yves & Jolivaldt, Philippe, 1998. "Feedback covariates unit root tests : an application to the sustainability of fiscal policy," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9810, CEPREMAP.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpm:cepmap:9810
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cepremap.fr/depot/couv_orange/co9810.ps
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.cepremap.fr/depot/couv_orange/co9810.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cpm:cepmap:9810. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sébastien Villemot (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ceprefr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.