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Impacto social del ciclo económico en Colombia: 1989-2004

Author

Listed:
  • Mauricio Cárdenas
  • Miguel Urrutia M.

Abstract

Este trabajo analiza la relación entre el ciclo económico y el comportamiento de los principales indicadores sociales en Colombia. El trabajo concluye que: i) El mercado laboral es el principal mecanismo de transmisión a través del cual el ciclo económico afecta el desempeño social; ii) Las fluctuaciones del producto explican buena parte de la varianza de las variables que miden el progreso social; iii) Las políticas macroeconómicas procíclicas son altamente contraproducentes en términos sociales. El caso específico de la política fiscal colombiana es ilustrativo. La expansión del gasto público durante los años noventa no fue un instrumento eficaz para mejorar las condiciones sociales del país. Además, el aumento en el nivel de endeudamiento durante los años de auge impidió utilizar la política fiscal con propósitos estabilizadores durante la crisis, lo cual generó un elevado costo social.

Suggested Citation

  • Mauricio Cárdenas & Miguel Urrutia M., 2004. "Impacto social del ciclo económico en Colombia: 1989-2004," Coyuntura Social 12923, Fedesarrollo.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000486:012923
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11445/1075
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ríos Ocampo, Juan Pablo & Olaya Morales, Yris, 2016. "Sostenibilidad del consumo doméstico de materiales de construcción en Colombia, 1990-2013," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 86, pages 127-151, December.
    2. Juan Pablo Ríos Ocampo & Yris Olaya Morales, 2017. "Sustainability of the domestic consumption of construction materials in Colombia, 1990-2013," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 86, pages 127-151, Enero - J.
    3. Eduardo Wiesner, 2008. "The Political Economy of Macroeconomic Policy Reform in Latin America," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 12913.
    4. Eduardo Wiesner, 2011. "Colombia: la percepción de justicia distributiva y la demanda política por estabilidad macroeconómica," Documentos CEDE 8739, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ciclos económicos; Progreso social;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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