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Decisiones bajo incertidumbre

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  • Ignacio Velez-Pareja

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Abstract

Este es material de curso del libro Decisiones Empresariales bajo Riesgo e Incertidumbre. El nivel del libro es basico. Se usan muy pocas matematicas y puede ser usado por gerentes. En este tercer capitulo se trata la idea de la incertidumbre. Se ilustran los diferentes enfoques de teoria de juegos: minimax, maxmax, minimum regret, metodo de Laplace, etc. Tambien se incluye un metodo simple para estimar la probabilidad de un evento y un metodo para estimar la distribucion de probabilidad subjetiva.

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File URL: http://ssrn.com/abstract=986876
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by MASTER CONSULTORES in its series PROYECCIONES FINANCIERAS Y VALORACION with number 005682.

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Length: 48
Date of creation: 24 Jun 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000463:005682

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Keywords: Uncertainty; game theory; subjective probability distributions;

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