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Una panorámica sobre la evolución de la deuda externa colombiana. ¡Juegos Ponzi! ¿Hasta cuándo?

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  • Andrés Ramírez Hassan

    ()

Abstract

En este artículo se analiza la evolución temporal de la deuda externa colombiana durante las últimas décadas enfatizando en sus dos grandes componentes: la deuda pública y la deuda privada. El análisis se realizará a partir del estudio de la relación de la deuda con la cuenta corriente. La investigación considerará el componente permanente de las series en cuestión y la senda temporal de dicho componente a través del tiempo. Además, se estiman las implicaciones del comportamiento de la deuda desde la perspectiva de un modelo estocástico para una pequeña economía abierta y la restricción presupuestaria que se impone a partir de la prohibición de juegos Ponzi. Luego se realizan algunas reflexiones sobre la sostenibilidad de la deuda externa.

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File URL: http://humanas.medellin.unal.edu.co/sites/default/files/ede/pdf/ede_23/ede_23_04_ramirez_hassan_andres_-_una_panoramica_sobre_la_revolucion__de_la_deua_externa_.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE COLOMBIA SEDE MEDELLIN in its series ENSAYOS DE ECONOMÍA with number 009043.

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Length: 25
Date of creation: 30 Nov 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000418:009043

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Related research

Keywords: Deuda externa; Componente permanente; Pequeña economía abierta; Restricción presupuestaria; Juegos Ponzi; Sostenibilidad.;

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