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¿Por qué el Valle siempre está en rojo?

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Author Info

  • Julio Esbobar

    ()

  • José Vicente Romero Chamorro

    ()

Abstract

Hist�ricamente el departamento del Valle del Cauca ha presentado un d�ficit permanente en su balanza comercial. Sin embargo, este resultado es m�s una consecuencia de la estructura productiva del departamento que del hecho de estar consumiendo por encima de su capacidad productiva. La configuraci�n industrial del Valle hace que este sea un importador neto de bienes intermedios, mientras que los saldos comerciales de bienes de consumo no duradero son positivos. Para demostrar esta hip�tesis se generaron las series de comercio exterior de acuerdo a la clasificaci�n CUODE con el fin de observar la configuraci�n del comercio regional seg�n origen y destino econ�mico. Igualmente se realizan pruebas de cointegraci�n y causalidad entre el PIB y el d�ficit comercial del Valle del Cauca, para observar si efectivamente el d�ficit comercial es una consecuencia de la estructura productiva departamental y por lo tanto del PIB regional. Finalmente, se exponen algunos planteamientos sobre los retos comerciales que tiene el departamento del Valle, tales como el deterioro econ�mico de Venezuela, la reestructuraci�n productiva y el desarrollo de las exportaciones no tradicionales.

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File URL: http://www.banrep.gov.co/documentos/publicaciones/regional/ESER/cali/2004_mayo.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ECONOMÍA REGIONAL in its series INVESTIGACIONES SOBRE ECONOMÍA REGIONAL - CREE with number 003819.

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Length: 21
Date of creation: 30 May 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000103:003819

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Keywords: Balanza comercial;

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