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Clusters en cultivos ilícitos: determinantes y dinámicas


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  • José Alberto Guerra


  • Julián David Parada


  • Juan Pablo García



Los datos recientes de áreas de cultivos ilícitos indican que a pesar de las fumigaciones, la producción total se ha reducido levemente y los cultivos se han dispersado. Se plantea un modelo teórico que analiza las decisiones tomadas por los cultivadores sobre la localización de sus parcelas, basando esta escogencia en la minimización local de los costos esperados. Se utiliza un modelo de agentes para la simulación de la naturaleza compleja de las dinámicas estudiadas. Se encuentra que el incentivo para agruparse aumenta con las economías a escala y se reduce con la expectativa del castigo, sobretodo en zonas con alta densidad de cultivadores.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO in its series DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO with number 004364.

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Length: 29
Date of creation: 21 Nov 2007
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Handle: RePEc:col:000092:004364

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