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Ricardian Business Cycles

Author

Listed:
  • Lorenzo Bretscher

    (University of Lausanne; Swiss Finance Institute, and CEPR)

  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde

    (University of Pennsylvania; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER))

  • Simon Scheidegger

    (University of Lausanne)

Abstract

This paper presents a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of Ricardian business cycles. Our model is Ricardian because countries (or, equivalently, regions) trade to take advantage of their comparative advantages. Their relative efficiencies, however, change over time stochastically. Similarly, country-specific shocks to demand, supply, and investment efficiency induce countries to engage in intra- and intertemporal substitutions in non-durable consumption, investment, services, and trade, generating business cycles. Finally, all agents have rational expectations about the stochastic components of the model. We solve the model globally using deep neural networks and calibrate it to the U.S., Europe, and China. Our quantitative results highlight the role of trading costs in shaping the responses of the economy to different shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorenzo Bretscher & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Simon Scheidegger, 2023. "Ricardian Business Cycles," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 23-43, Swiss Finance Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp2343
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Trade; Business Cycles; General Equilibrium; Comparative Advantage; Deep Learning;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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