The Labour Market over the Business Cycle: Can Theory Fit the Facts?
AbstractWe examine the ability of six labour market models to account for the business cycle behaviour of UK labour markets when embedded in a stochastic growth model. WE assess the models in terms of : (i) their ability to mimic general business cycle correlations and volatility (ii) their success at explaining the persistence of labour market fluctuations and (iii) whether the models can explain why the growth and speed of adjustment of labour market variables changes between periods of expansions and contractions. The main success of the models is the ability to broadly account for business cycle correlations and co-movements and the changes in employment/unemployment growth rates between expansions and contractions. However, there are three main failures (a) the models tend to produce insufficiently volatile employment and unemployment fluctuations (b) the models tend to produce too strong a correlation between wages and employment (c) most of the models generate only brief temporary deviations in unemployment in response to shocks rather than the protracted dynamics of the data.
Download InfoTo our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Centre for Economic Performance, LSE in its series CEP Discussion Papers with number dp0364.
Date of creation: Sep 1997
Date of revision:
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/publications/series.asp?prog=CEP
Other versions of this item:
- Millard, Stephen & Scott, Andrew & Sensier, Marianne, 1997. "The Labour Market over the Business Cycle: Can Theory Fit the Facts?," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 70-92, Autumn.
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
This item has more than 25 citations. To prevent cluttering this page, these citations are listed on a separate page. reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.Access and download statisticsgeneral information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ().
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.